Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Stastny 55.6% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 96.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 95.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 89.7%
10.3%
89.7%
Malkin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Malkin
Stastny
Last 9: Malkin 7-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
56.5% (967)
-14.0%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
58.4% (125)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
50.8% (128)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stastny
Home
43.3% (406)
56.8% (590)
Away
40.4% (349)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Malkin
Stastny
P1
39.3%
59.7%
P2
43.1%
54.8%
P3
43.8%
53.8%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |