Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 94.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Malkin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Stastny
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Malkin
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
55.4% (1,004)
-12.7%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
59.0% (210)
+4.2%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Malkin shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stastny
Home
45.1% (426)
56.5% (717)
Away
41.2% (420)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Malkin
Stastny
P1
41.3%
56.7%
P2
44.0%
57.7%
P3
44.7%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |