Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Stastny 54.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 94.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 91.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 86.6%
13.4%
86.6%
Malkin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Malkin
Stastny
Last 5: Malkin 5-0 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
52.8% (657)
-6.6%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
61.0% (118)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
61.1% (72)
-27.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Malkin shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stastny
Home
45.1% (450)
53.0% (464)
Away
46.4% (384)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Malkin
Stastny
P1
48.2%
47.9%
P2
43.5%
59.6%
P3
46.0%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |