Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Holland 47.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.2%
Defensive zone
Holland 61.2%
Neutral zone
Holland 51.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Malkin
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Malkin
Holland
Last 9: Malkin 4-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Malkin
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Malkin
Holland
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
45.7% (411)
-3.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
55.9% (34)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
45.0% (20)
-20.0%
On power play, Holland has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Holland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Malkin
Holland
Home
43.3% (406)
48.9% (219)
Away
40.4% (349)
44.3% (246)
By Period
Malkin
Holland
P1
39.3%
44.0%
P2
43.1%
51.7%
P3
43.8%
44.6%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Peter Holland |