Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Getzlaf 49.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.8%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 58.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Malkin
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malkin
Getzlaf
Last 8: Malkin 2-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
4
Malkin
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
49.5% (1,086)
-1.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
57.0% (93)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
43.5% (232)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Malkin is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Malkin shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Home / Away
Malkin
Getzlaf
Home
53.4% (305)
53.0% (664)
Away
44.3% (316)
45.5% (747)
By Period
Malkin
Getzlaf
P1
45.6%
48.4%
P2
46.6%
51.7%
P3
54.7%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |