Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Gionta 38.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.8%
Defensive zone
Gionta 54.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Malkin
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Malkin
Gionta
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Malkin
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
3
Malkin
Gionta
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
35.5% (335)
+12.0%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
66.7% (3)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
30.8% (52)
+44.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Malkin is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Malkin shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gionta
Home
52.1% (213)
34.9% (186)
Away
42.0% (200)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Malkin
Gionta
P1
47.2%
32.5%
P2
44.4%
29.7%
P3
50.0%
42.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |