Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Ott 54.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 88.0%
Neutral zone
Ott 62.4%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Malkin
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Malkin
Ott
Last 9: Malkin 5-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
3
Malkin
Ott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
54.8% (305)
-7.3%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
56.8% (95)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
57.0% (135)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Malkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Malkin shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Malkin
Ott
Home
52.1% (213)
58.7% (271)
Away
42.0% (200)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Malkin
Ott
P1
47.2%
60.4%
P2
44.4%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
65.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |