Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Plekanec 49.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 74.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 73.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Malkin
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malkin
Plekanec
Last 5: Malkin 1-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Malkin
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Malkin
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Malkin
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
50.8% (1,214)
-7.7%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
50.5% (190)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
41.8% (153)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Malkin shoots left. Plekanec is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (965).
Home / Away
Malkin
Plekanec
Home
42.6% (338)
52.1% (760)
Away
42.7% (417)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Malkin
Plekanec
P1
40.9%
51.3%
P2
45.3%
47.2%
P3
42.0%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |