Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Plekanec 49.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 67.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 90.9%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 79.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Malkin
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Malkin
Plekanec
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
5
Malkin
Plekanec
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
3
Malkin
Plekanec
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
49.8% (1,199)
-7.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
51.7% (240)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
47.2% (176)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Plekanec is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Malkin
Plekanec
Home
43.3% (406)
48.9% (807)
Away
40.4% (349)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Malkin
Plekanec
P1
39.3%
52.2%
P2
43.1%
49.4%
P3
43.8%
47.4%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |