Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Wingels 44.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.2%
Defensive zone
Wingels 63.4%
Neutral zone
Wingels 50.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Malkin
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Malkin
Wingels
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Wingels
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
1
3
Malkin
Wingels
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Wingels
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
44.2% (871)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
43.2% (74)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
41.3% (109)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Wingels has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Malkin
Wingels
Home
47.6% (5,395)
44.4% (462)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Malkin
Wingels
P1
45.9%
45.1%
P2
46.2%
40.9%
P3
45.2%
46.0%
OT
49.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |