Scouting Report
Tommy Wingels holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Wingels 47.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 66.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Malkin
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Wingels
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Wingels
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
3
Malkin
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
1
Malkin
Wingels
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
42.5% (106)
+0.6%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
45.9% (37)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
72.7% (11)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Wingels has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Malkin shoots left. Wingels is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Malkin
Wingels
Home
42.6% (338)
45.5% (77)
Away
42.7% (417)
45.5% (77)
By Period
Malkin
Wingels
P1
40.9%
45.9%
P2
45.3%
50.8%
P3
42.0%
42.3%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |