Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Zajac 54.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 85.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 84.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Malkin
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Malkin
Zajac
Last 10: Malkin 1-9 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Malkin
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Malkin
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Malkin
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
55.7% (1,020)
-7.5%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
52.7% (201)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
50.3% (173)
+49.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Malkin is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Malkin shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zajac
Home
53.4% (305)
54.9% (685)
Away
44.3% (316)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Malkin
Zajac
P1
45.6%
54.6%
P2
46.6%
55.5%
P3
54.7%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |