Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Malkin wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Bozak 52.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 78.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 68.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Malkin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Malkin
Bozak
Last 9: Malkin 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
6
Malkin
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
51.7% (913)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
55.9% (211)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
54.9% (51)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Malkin shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bozak
Home
52.4% (601)
52.8% (615)
Away
42.7% (609)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Malkin
Bozak
P1
48.8%
52.5%
P2
50.6%
51.1%
P3
41.6%
55.2%
OT
65.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |