Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Smith 51.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Malkin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malkin
Smith
Last 7: Malkin 2-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Malkin
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Malkin
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
53.6% (550)
-11.1%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
53.5% (71)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
43.5% (108)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Malkin
Smith
Home
43.3% (406)
56.5% (352)
Away
40.4% (349)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Malkin
Smith
P1
39.3%
52.0%
P2
43.1%
51.5%
P3
43.8%
52.2%
OT
37.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Zack Smith |