Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Malkin wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Smith 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Malkin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Malkin
Smith
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Malkin
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Malkin
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
8
Malkin
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
50.9% (666)
-4.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
70.0% (10)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
39.6% (144)
-6.3%
On power play, Smith has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Malkin shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Malkin
Smith
Home
45.1% (450)
50.9% (405)
Away
46.4% (384)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Malkin
Smith
P1
48.2%
47.1%
P2
43.5%
49.6%
P3
46.0%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |