Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 85.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 64.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Last 8: Lazar 3-5 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Lazar
Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Kuznetsov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Lazar
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
47.7% (927)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.5% (71)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
39.4% (71)
-6.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Home
57.1% (119)
45.9% (534)
Away
47.1% (153)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Lazar
Kuznetsov
P1
53.1%
44.8%
P2
52.2%
52.1%
P3
48.8%
44.5%
Final 5 min
42.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |