Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Kuznetsov 45.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 56.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 72.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Lazar
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
44.4% (613)
+4.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
58.8% (68)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
36.4% (66)
+13.6%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kuznetsov
Home
49.2% (189)
48.6% (370)
Away
48.3% (176)
41.4% (377)
By Period
Lazar
Kuznetsov
P1
50.8%
44.3%
P2
45.2%
49.6%
P3
50.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |