Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Pageau 53.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Kuznetsov
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kuznetsov
Pageau
Last 7: Kuznetsov 5-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
53.5% (826)
-10.0%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
59.2% (120)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
50.2% (203)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Pageau
Home
43.7% (414)
55.7% (618)
Away
42.9% (389)
51.0% (531)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Pageau
P1
43.7%
52.5%
P2
44.1%
56.1%
P3
42.1%
50.8%
OT
42.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |