Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Thornton 54.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 92.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 92.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 88.8%
11.2%
88.8%
Kuznetsov
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Kuznetsov
Thornton
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
5
2
Kuznetsov
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
6
Kuznetsov
Thornton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
8
0
Kuznetsov
Thornton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
53.5% (6,640)
-9.6%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
57.2% (1,387)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
56.7% (427)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Thornton
Home
44.8% (4,622)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Thornton
P1
43.6%
55.0%
P2
45.8%
53.3%
P3
42.8%
54.4%
OT
43.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |