Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Lehtera 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 63.8%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 50.3%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 54.3%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
Last 9: Kuznetsov 6-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
1
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
48.9% (843)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
36.7% (30)
+3.3%
On power play, Lehtera has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
Home
49.8% (592)
51.7% (520)
Away
45.5% (545)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Lehtera
P1
49.0%
52.8%
P2
49.3%
54.0%
P3
45.3%
43.0%
OT
40.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |