Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Turris 51.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 73.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 60.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 64.9%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Kuznetsov
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kuznetsov
Turris
Last 6: Kuznetsov 4-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
50.9% (801)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
54.4% (204)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
43.6% (39)
-3.6%
On power play, Turris has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Turris
Home
49.8% (592)
55.6% (482)
Away
45.5% (545)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Turris
P1
49.0%
49.1%
P2
49.3%
51.6%
P3
45.3%
53.4%
OT
40.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 16, 2015 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |