Scouting Report
Leo Komarov holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Komarov 46.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 74.8%
Defensive zone
Komarov 71.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 50.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kuznetsov
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuznetsov
Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Kuznetsov
Komarov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Komarov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
42.9% (56)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
42.9% (7)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
46.0% (139)
+29.0%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Komarov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Komarov
Home
42.6% (493)
49.5% (103)
Away
45.2% (544)
40.4% (99)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Komarov
P1
44.0%
49.1%
P2
47.2%
39.0%
P3
40.8%
49.3%
OT
38.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |