Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.3% vs Stastny 57.3% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 68.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 75.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Last 5: Kuznetsov 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Kuznetsov
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Kuznetsov
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (613)
57.6% (959)
-13.7%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
60.8% (125)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.1% (74)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Home
43.3% (356)
55.9% (590)
Away
46.2% (325)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Stastny
P1
45.8%
59.6%
P2
47.3%
59.0%
P3
41.6%
55.3%
OT
14.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |