Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 81.5%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 79.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 86.2%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Last 9: Kuznetsov 2-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Kuznetsov
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Kuznetsov
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
55.4% (1,004)
-12.6%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
59.0% (210)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
54.1% (196)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Stastny
Home
42.6% (493)
56.5% (717)
Away
45.2% (544)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Stastny
P1
44.0%
56.7%
P2
47.2%
57.7%
P3
40.8%
52.1%
OT
38.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |