Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 45.1%). Look for Varone on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.3% vs Varone 46.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 63.3%
Defensive zone
Varone 68.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 53.3%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kuznetsov
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kuznetsov
Varone
Last 7: Kuznetsov 4-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Varone
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
Kuznetsov
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Varone
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (613)
45.4% (315)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
36.4% (11)
+14.3%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Varone is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Varone
Home
43.3% (356)
44.5% (119)
Away
46.2% (325)
45.4% (207)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Varone
P1
45.8%
44.5%
P2
47.3%
38.6%
P3
41.6%
53.5%
OT
14.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | OT | 03:57 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Phil Varone |