Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 39.7% vs Kesler 55.2% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 77.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 86.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Kuznetsov
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Kuznetsov
Kesler
Last 10: Kuznetsov 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Kuznetsov
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Kuznetsov
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (960)
55.7% (741)
-16.7%
Power Play
37.8% (45)
67.0% (100)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
50.0% (204)
-22.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kesler
Home
40.3% (533)
52.5% (522)
Away
36.9% (490)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kesler
P1
37.8%
56.7%
P2
41.5%
56.8%
P3
36.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
31.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |