Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 45.5%). Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.3% vs Spooner 46.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 56.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 51.9%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Last 8: Kuznetsov 4-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
3
Kuznetsov
Spooner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Spooner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (613)
44.8% (212)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
66.7% (6)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Spooner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Home
43.3% (356)
45.8% (107)
Away
46.2% (325)
45.1% (113)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Spooner
P1
45.8%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
41.7%
P3
41.6%
44.8%
OT
14.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |