Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Spooner 43.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 51.7%
Defensive zone
Spooner 50.2%
Neutral zone
Spooner 52.5%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Last 9: Kuznetsov 4-5 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
3
Kuznetsov
Spooner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Spooner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Spooner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
42.9% (683)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
30.0% (10)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Spooner is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Spooner
Home
49.8% (592)
42.4% (349)
Away
45.5% (545)
43.1% (362)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Spooner
P1
49.0%
44.7%
P2
49.3%
45.8%
P3
45.3%
37.4%
OT
40.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |