Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.3% vs Schaller 43.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 81.7%
Defensive zone
Schaller 60.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 56.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Kuznetsov
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kuznetsov
Schaller
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Schaller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
0
2
Kuznetsov
Schaller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
5
1
Kuznetsov
Schaller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (613)
40.0% (170)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
100.0% (2)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (14)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Schaller is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Schaller
Home
43.3% (356)
33.3% (36)
Away
46.2% (325)
41.3% (150)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Schaller
P1
45.8%
38.1%
P2
47.3%
44.6%
P3
41.6%
37.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |