Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Zajac 54.4% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 85.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 84.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Kuznetsov
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kuznetsov
Zajac
Last 7: Kuznetsov 1-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Kuznetsov
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Kuznetsov
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
54.1% (1,208)
-11.3%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
60.9% (230)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.3% (179)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kuznetsov is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zajac
Home
42.6% (493)
56.3% (778)
Away
45.2% (544)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zajac
P1
44.0%
56.3%
P2
47.2%
54.6%
P3
40.8%
53.1%
OT
38.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 29, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |