Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Gourde 41.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 66.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 60.2%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Last 10: Kuznetsov 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kuznetsov
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
1
Kuznetsov
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
39.8% (128)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
25.0% (12)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
26.1% (23)
+48.9%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +48.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gourde is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Home
42.6% (493)
43.2% (95)
Away
45.2% (544)
27.9% (68)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gourde
P1
44.0%
43.1%
P2
47.2%
33.3%
P3
40.8%
34.5%
OT
38.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |