Fedor Svechkov vs Justin Dowling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Dowling 48.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 68.2%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 62.1%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 64.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Svechkov
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Svechkov
Dowling
Last 6: Svechkov 2-4 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
1
Svechkov
Dowling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Dowling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
2
Svechkov
Dowling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
49.4% (652)
-9.0%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
40.6% (32)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
33.3% (9)
-8.3%
On even strength, Dowling has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Dowling
Home
39.2% (393)
48.2% (301)
Away
41.3% (380)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Svechkov
Dowling
P1
35.6%
47.6%
P2
45.0%
50.4%
P3
40.2%
48.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |