Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Barron 47.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 82.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 76.7%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 58.5%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Svechkov
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Svechkov
Barron
Last 10: Svechkov 4-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
3
Svechkov
Barron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
3
Svechkov
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
48.8% (371)
-5.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
42.0% (174)
-2.0%
On even strength, Barron has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Barron
Home
41.0% (212)
44.9% (283)
Away
44.7% (226)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Svechkov
Barron
P1
36.1%
44.8%
P2
45.4%
50.7%
P3
46.7%
43.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |