Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Donato 44.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 56.1%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 57.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 50.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Svechkov
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Svechkov
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Svechkov
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
44.2% (1,179)
-3.8%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
46.3% (246)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
36.4% (11)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Donato
Home
39.2% (393)
47.2% (743)
Away
41.3% (380)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Svechkov
Donato
P1
35.6%
43.4%
P2
45.0%
45.1%
P3
40.2%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |