Scouting Report
Filip Chytil holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Chytil 49.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 52.3%
Defensive zone
Chytil 61.1%
Neutral zone
Chytil 53.8%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
McDavid
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McDavid
Chytil
Last 6: McDavid 5-1 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Chytil
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Chytil
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Chytil
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
48.2% (114)
-0.7%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
62.5% (8)
-13.9%
On power play, Chytil has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Chytil is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
McDavid
Chytil
Home
50.2% (400)
54.8% (73)
Away
44.7% (365)
40.8% (49)
By Period
McDavid
Chytil
P1
47.5%
43.1%
P2
48.6%
59.5%
P3
46.7%
40.7%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |