Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Chytil 40.3% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 86.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 86.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 89.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Brassard
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Brassard
Chytil
Last 6: Brassard 6-0 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Chytil
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Chytil
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Chytil
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
38.9% (470)
+16.5%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
37.8% (37)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
12.5% (8)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Brassard is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Brassard shoots left. Chytil is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Brassard
Chytil
Home
52.3% (174)
40.1% (272)
Away
57.9% (183)
36.6% (243)
By Period
Brassard
Chytil
P1
47.1%
39.6%
P2
60.6%
34.5%
P3
57.4%
41.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |