Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 44.6% vs Eller 50.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Chytil
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Chytil
Eller
Last 6: Chytil 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (290)
49.4% (518)
-6.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
57.6% (33)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
52.8% (108)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Chytil is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Chytil shoots left. Eller is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Chytil
Eller
Home
38.5% (148)
49.0% (304)
Away
46.8% (156)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Chytil
Eller
P1
37.5%
55.5%
P2
48.2%
44.0%
P3
42.6%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |