Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.9% vs Thompson 53.4% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 86.7%
Defensive zone
Chytil 73.8%
Neutral zone
Chytil 79.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Chytil
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Chytil
Thompson
Last 6: Chytil 1-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Chytil
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Chytil
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (161)
54.5% (628)
-14.7%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
47.4% (19)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.3% (113)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Chytil is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Chytil shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Chytil
Thompson
Home
41.3% (63)
55.6% (329)
Away
37.5% (112)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Chytil
Thompson
P1
37.5%
55.3%
P2
41.3%
48.1%
P3
37.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
38.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |