Scouting Report
Ryan Reaves holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Vatrano wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reaves shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 41.6% vs Reaves 45.3% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 52.2%
Defensive zone
Vatrano 50.2%
Neutral zone
Reaves 50.8%
Result
Frank Vatrano favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Vatrano
Reaves
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Reaves
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (209)
43.8% (217)
-5.5%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
36.8% (19)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.0% (2)
-5.6%
On power play, Reaves has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reaves shoots right. Vatrano is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Vatrano shoots left. Reaves is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Reaves
Home
37.1% (116)
46.8% (111)
Away
39.1% (128)
40.2% (127)
By Period
Vatrano
Reaves
P1
37.8%
41.9%
P2
33.3%
40.4%
P3
43.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
38.9%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%
Reaves
34.0%▼
42.5%
43.3%