Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.1% vs 37.7%). Vatrano wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Vanek shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 41.6% vs Vanek 41.7% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Vanek 58.4%
Defensive zone
Vatrano 54.5%
Neutral zone
Vatrano 50.8%
Result
Thomas Vanek favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Vatrano
Vanek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Vanek
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (209)
37.7% (146)
+0.6%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
36.1% (61)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
60.0% (5)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Vanek has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vanek shoots right. Vatrano is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Vatrano shoots left. Vanek is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Vanek
Home
37.1% (116)
39.6% (111)
Away
39.1% (128)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Vatrano
Vanek
P1
37.8%
32.1%
P2
33.3%
40.9%
P3
43.0%
40.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.9%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%
Vanek
28.0%▼
38.5%
37.7%