Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 48.2% vs Nielsen 50.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 84.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 56.6%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 62.0%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
Last 6: Galchenyuk 0-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (654)
50.7% (899)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
54.8% (73)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
45.7% (197)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
Home
50.2% (442)
51.1% (595)
Away
44.6% (307)
49.1% (574)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Nielsen
P1
45.2%
53.2%
P2
53.5%
48.1%
P3
46.3%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |