Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.8%). Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Nielsen 53.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 63.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 51.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 51.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Shaw
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Shaw
Nielsen
Last 10: Shaw 9-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
1
Shaw
Nielsen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
0
Shaw
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
54.2% (906)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
63.2% (152)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.3% (156)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Shaw is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shaw shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nielsen
Home
58.1% (234)
55.3% (608)
Away
50.5% (204)
52.3% (606)
By Period
Shaw
Nielsen
P1
53.8%
54.1%
P2
58.3%
52.6%
P3
52.0%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
65.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | OT | 00:32 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |