Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 49.9% vs Nielsen 46.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 54.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 82.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 66.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Kopitar
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kopitar
Nielsen
Last 8: Kopitar 2-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Kopitar
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Kopitar
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (897)
46.2% (766)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.0% (168)
43.4% (53)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (73)
48.0% (125)
-4.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Kopitar is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Kopitar shoots left. Nielsen is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nielsen
Home
50.0% (600)
46.8% (489)
Away
49.8% (560)
45.6% (476)
By Period
Kopitar
Nielsen
P1
49.3%
45.5%
P2
53.0%
47.5%
P3
46.9%
46.5%
OT
52.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
49.9%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |