Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 65.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 69.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 66.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Horvat
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
Nielsen
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
2
Horvat
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Horvat
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
47.6% (836)
+5.5%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
53.2% (47)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
38.0% (158)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nielsen
Home
53.0% (673)
50.4% (508)
Away
54.5% (651)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Horvat
Nielsen
P1
51.9%
48.1%
P2
54.8%
44.6%
P3
54.3%
46.8%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |