Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Nielsen 48.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 85.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 72.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Jenner
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jenner
Nielsen
Last 5: Jenner 4-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Jenner
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
49.7% (759)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
48.1% (106)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
37.9% (58)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nielsen
Home
54.1% (575)
49.8% (422)
Away
54.1% (582)
47.9% (501)
By Period
Jenner
Nielsen
P1
54.1%
48.8%
P2
53.1%
48.7%
P3
54.9%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |