Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Nielsen 46.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 78.4%
Defensive zone
Richardson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 57.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Richardson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richardson
Nielsen
Last 5: Richardson 2-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Richardson
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
46.5% (409)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
43.5% (23)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
41.7% (24)
+4.8%
On power play, Richardson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Richardson shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nielsen
Home
56.7% (344)
44.7% (264)
Away
51.0% (314)
47.9% (192)
By Period
Richardson
Nielsen
P1
48.8%
48.4%
P2
54.1%
49.7%
P3
58.4%
38.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |