Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Nielsen 46.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 52.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Boyle
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyle
Nielsen
Last 5: Boyle 2-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Boyle
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
2
Boyle
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
46.5% (409)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
43.5% (23)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
41.7% (24)
+5.0%
On even strength, Boyle has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Boyle shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Boyle
Nielsen
Home
48.5% (194)
44.7% (264)
Away
56.6% (182)
47.9% (192)
By Period
Boyle
Nielsen
P1
49.1%
48.4%
P2
55.9%
49.7%
P3
51.7%
38.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |