Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 63.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 65.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 67.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Nelson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nelson
Nielsen
Last 9: Nelson 2-7 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
3
Nelson
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Nelson
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
47.6% (836)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
53.2% (47)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
38.0% (158)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nielsen
Home
51.1% (399)
50.4% (508)
Away
45.6% (406)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Nelson
Nielsen
P1
51.8%
48.1%
P2
47.5%
44.6%
P3
46.5%
46.8%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |