Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Nielsen 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 53.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 51.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Rowney
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rowney
Nielsen
Last 5: Rowney 1-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Rowney
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Rowney
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
49.7% (759)
+0.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
48.1% (106)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
37.9% (58)
+7.8%
On power play, Rowney has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Nielsen is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Rowney
Nielsen
Home
51.0% (143)
49.8% (422)
Away
48.0% (204)
47.9% (501)
By Period
Rowney
Nielsen
P1
49.6%
48.8%
P2
47.7%
48.7%
P3
50.9%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |