Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.1% vs Nielsen 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 59.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Cizikas
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Nielsen
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (815)
49.7% (759)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
48.1% (106)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (188)
37.9% (58)
+6.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Cizikas is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Cizikas shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Nielsen
Home
49.3% (477)
49.8% (422)
Away
48.9% (536)
47.9% (501)
By Period
Cizikas
Nielsen
P1
49.3%
48.8%
P2
51.5%
48.7%
P3
45.7%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |